2027: Seven Governors Hold Out Against APC's Growing Dominance

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As Nigeria edges closer to the 2027 general elections, a relentless wave of defections to the ruling All Progressives Congress (APC) has dramatically reshaped the political map, leaving just seven opposition governors defying what analysts describe as an unstoppable "APC hurricane."

Published reports highlight how power dynamics, federal pressure, and the quest for political survival are colliding in the run-up to the polls. Recent defections—particularly from PDP and other opposition platforms—have swelled APC's control to around 29 or 30 states (depending on the latest count), giving it unprecedented leverage over resources, security, and electoral machinery.

Those still resisting the pull include:

Governor Bala Mohammed of Bauchi (PDP), who has faced opposition siege but maintains a defiant stance rooted in northern PDP interests.

Governor Seyi Makinde of Oyo (PDP), leveraging strong local power bases and rumored presidential ambitions within the PDP.

Governor Dauda Lawal of Zamfara (PDP), navigating a volatile northwest landscape.

Governor Ahmadu Fintiri of Adamawa (PDP), holding firm in a strategically important northeast state.

Governor Alex Otti of Abia (LP), representing Labour Party's foothold in the southeast.

Governor Ademola Adeleke of Osun (PDP), despite southwest pressures.

Governor Chukwuma Soludo of Anambra (APGA), championing Igbo-centric and economic reform agendas outside the APC fold.

The Vanguard analysis underscores that each defection weakens opposition unity, leaving remaining governors and their teams to weigh the risks of isolation against the benefits of alignment. Questions loom over federal allocations, anti-graft agency scrutiny, and access to national networks.

This trend has sparked debates: critics argue it reflects coercion and patronage politics, while APC supporters point to strategic realignments for national stability. Opposition figures, including former Osun Governor Rauf Aregbesola, have cautioned against over-relying on gubernatorial defections for 2027 victory, insisting elections remain candidate- and voter-driven rather than governor-determined.

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